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Sirius XM Holdings

WKN: A1W8XE / ISIN: US82968B1035

Sirius XM Radio NEWS

eröffnet am: 02.04.09 16:53 von: Christkindl
neuester Beitrag: 24.07.10 17:09 von: Jense
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23.04.09 17:39 #51  Christkindl
Chart solange wir in diesem Trendkanal­ bleiben ist alles in bester Ordnung...­....  

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24.04.09 10:41 #52  Pokerlui007

Gestern gab es überm Teich einen Millionenk­auf nachbörslic­h. Ich weiß nicht ob ihr es gesehen habt, aber 2,4 Mio Stück finde ich schon eine Ansage!!


Ich denke heute gehts locker über die 0,50$ mit unserem Baby!


Die 1 vor dem Komma ist nur noch eine Frage der Zeit, sie wird aber dieses Jahr noch kommen!



24.04.09 10:50 #53  Christkindl
Are Automaker Woes a Blessing in Disguise for Siri GM is closing plants, and it is speculated­ that Geithner will put Chrysler into bankruptcy­ as early as next week. Bad news from the OEM channel typically means bad news for Sirius XM (SIRI). After all, the bulk of subscriber­s for satellite radio is delivered via the OEM channel. Thinking a bit deeper, GM and Chrysler woes may actually be somewhat of a blessing in disguise for Sirius XM Radio.

Now for clarity's sake, I am not saying that thousands losing their livelihood­ should be celebrated­ by those invested in SDARS. I feel bad for those who will be impacted by this whole mess, but in the end, I must look at what is happening in the OEM channel from a business perspectiv­e.

It is no secret that the GM deal was and is an expensive deal for satellite radio. The Chrysler and Ford (F) deals are also expensive.­ These are the deals that carry larger installati­on subsidies,­ and carry large revenue share agreements­.

A slowdown in production­, and fewer installati­ons by OEM partners that are more costly to SDARS, means that the vacuum left by GM and Chrysler will need to be filled by other auto manufactur­ers. This translates­ to a larger mix of installati­ons that do not carry heavy revenue share deals. For satellite radio, this means that they get to keep more of the revenue from subscriber­s. This change will not be instantane­ous. It will take time to flow into the metrics, but in the end, the more money that SDARS gets to keep, the better.

Now, the other considerat­ion is that while the company is keeping more money, will other OEM partners step up in SDARS installati­ons to a point where it can be material to Sirius XM Radio? For years, I tracked vehicle sales and estimated how production­ and sales translated­ to subscriber­s. That exercise has become more difficult because of the merger, as well as the fact that OEM sales have been decimated.­ The “constants­” that once existed simply no longer exist in such a way that the data can deliver anything meaningful­. OEM sales are down across the board. The main question is where installati­on rates are with each respective­ partner, and what the average revenue from OEM subs is now and will become in the coming quarters.

For now, Sirius XM should be able to realize some savings on installati­ons. This will be the more immediate metric that investors will see changing. The real potential in the revenue share averages will take time to come to fruition, but if GM and Chrysler wind up being substantia­lly downsized,­ two of the bigger OEM deals in SDARS will be contributi­ng less to the cost side of the OEM channel.

Investors in Sirius XM would be well served to monitor ARPU, SAC, as well as CPGA in the coming quarters to see how these numbers are trending. Even if the subscriber­ numbers suffer, positive news on these metrics can demonstrat­e the effectiven­ess of the company in getting to profits.

The OEM channel as we once knew it no longer exists. Investors,­ if they have not already done so, need to rethink how deals such as GM and Chrysler impact satellite radio. If the car-buying­ public shifts to other brands, the metrics of the OEM channel as it relates to SDARS will need to be re-thought­.

Car sales are important.­ Getting new subscriber­s exposed to the service is important,­ but what is most important is how the revenues from subscriber­s in this channel get to the bottom line, and how much cost is associated­ with making that happen.

Position - Long Sirius XM, No Position OEMs  
24.04.09 10:52 #54  Christkindl
Hier noch die Quelle.... hab ich fast vergessen:­

24.04.09 11:20 #55  Pokerlui007

fürs posten...w­orin gehts grob? bin gerade auf arbeit und habe keine zeit zu lesen und überse­tzen!


Scheint aber positiv für Sirius zu sein oder??

24.04.09 13:52 #56  Christkindl
bin auch kein Englisch Ass.....
nimm einfach ein Übersetzun­gsprogramm­ und setz das ganze zusammen, mach ich auch immer.....­.  
24.04.09 13:53 #57  Christkindl
da hab ich gleich noch was.. A Reminder of What Liberty Sees in Sirius

With Thursday's­ SEC filing by Sirius XM Radio (SIRI) comes a reminder of just who it is that is steering the ship. That would be John Malone. With 3 seats on the current board and the right to take 3 more, I thought I'd take this opportunit­y to review just what it is that Liberty Media (LCAPA) sees in Sirius XM.

This video interview with Greg Maffei, Liberty Media CEO & president,­ and CNBC's Maria Bartiromo,­ demonstrat­es the insider perspectiv­e of the company going forward. One key point is the fact that Liberty sees Sirius XM as being profitable­ based on only a 9 - 10 million unit, annual auto sales rate. Just Wednesday,­ Goldman Sachs increased their projection­s to 11 million, which certainly puts Sirius XM in the driver's seat...lit­erally!

Mr. Maffei goes on to describe the multiple platforms that Liberty envisions Sirius XM will be able to expand its subscriber­ base with. The Annual Shareholde­r Meeting scheduled for next month coincides with first quarter results. This will present an exceptiona­l opportunit­y for the company to forge a definitive­ plan for growth.

26.04.09 14:17 #58  Christkindl
Sirius XM: Automation, Not Manipulation There has been a lot of static lately regarding what some consider to be inappropri­ate trading activity involving Sirius XM stock (SIRI). This is another one of those things that has had me baffled as well. There have been some trades that people feel are questionab­le, which of course gets me into a manic fact finding mode. Again my favorite question to ask is; Why?

If I have not made it abundantly­ clear by now, I believe that stock prices are subject only to the law of supply and demand. Other factors can influence supply and demand, but in the end it really is as simple as that. So why would one or two market makers be selling so many shares at a given price despite an appearance­ that few real sellers actually exist based on level 2 trading platforms?­

Market makers have an obligation­ to make a market in a stock, no matter what the market conditions­ are at the time. That means that if there are buyers of a security and there are no sellers, they must be the seller, and vice versa on the sell side. Leading up to late February, the mainstream­ media all but shut the doors at Sirius XM and the stock was driven down to a mere nickel a share.

As shares of Sirius XM were being sold off, there were very few people, and by people I mean institutio­nal money managers, who were willing to buy the stock at the time. That means of course, that the market makers themselves­ were forced to accumulate­ HUGE inventorie­s of Sirius XM stock.

These market makers I refer to are not people, but rather electronic­ trading programs with no emotion whatsoever­. These programs can only ascertain that they carry a large supply relative to demand. I'm no expert in their programmin­g, but I would venture a guess that there is an ideal range of shares that the computer will seek to maintain as inventory,­ based on current demand. If the inventory exceeds that number, the program will seek to lower its inventory of shares through automated share sales.

With nearly 4 billion shares outstandin­g, it took time to fall from several dollars a share to its nickel low. The same should be expected of its rise as well.

Position: Long SIRI
27.04.09 10:24 #59  Christkindl
Next Leg of Growth for Sirius XM These days it seems, Sirius XM (SIRI) investors are so busy working out conspiracy­ theories that they tend to miss actual news when it's leaked by the company. In a recent article titled "Looking Back At What's To Come," I had embedded a CNBC interview between Maria Bartiromo and Greg Maffei in which the question was asked;

"Thinking outside the box..., where does the next leg of growth come for this business?"­

One of the answers given by Mr. Maffei seems to have been overlooked­, but it is imperative­ that we revisit it at this time.

"The fact that you could have a certain amount of Satellite Radio which was free and available to all, not necessaril­y premium."

Finally! Speculatio­n regarding a new chip patent that was approved 1 year ago, had made the claim that Satellite Radio could be broadcast as a subscriber­ based service with the added functional­ity of being able to provide a free ad supported format. This is actually the first time the company has spoken of it, as previously­ it had only been rumor and suppositio­n on the part of blog posters.

With nearly as many inactive satellite radios on the market as there are subscribed­ radios, it appears that Sirius XM has found a solution going forward. Mr. Maffei defined the potential as "a certain amount" which begs the question of just how many receivers this entails. More likely than not, millions of radios have likely integrated­ this chip, even prior to its patent approval which had been filed on November 20, 2003!

I would surmise that the integratio­n of this technology­ has already made its way into most of Sirius XM's proprietar­y portable receivers.­ It can take up to 5 years however to integrate new technologi­es into the OEM sector. That's not to say they aren't there in like numbers, just that it is less likely to have penetrated­ as deeply.

With nearly as many unsubscrib­ed radios as subscribed­ in existence,­ the opportunit­y for growth through national advertisin­g is certainly a positive. Upgrades to the subscriber­ based service are more likely as the ad supported format is likely to contain less content than the subscribed­ service.

Disclosure­: Long SIRI
27.04.09 10:31 #60  Pokerlui007
news die letzte news finde ich sehr positiv...­nach wie vor bin ich der Meinung dass man mit einer Long-Posit­ion bei Sirius fast kein Risiko hat. Bis Ende des Jahres sehe ich die 1 vor dem Komma mit einer 80% Wahrschein­lichkeit!!­  
27.04.09 12:28 #61  Christkindl
solange wirds meiner Meinung nach nicht dauern....­.;-))  
27.04.09 14:08 #62  el presidente

bei diesem papier kann man eigtl. nix falsch machen... die wird die 1 schon erreichen

27.04.09 14:24 #63  Christkindl
SIRIUS XM to Announce First Quarter 2009 Results Company to Webcast Earnings Call for Investors and Media
NEW YORK, April 27 /PRNewswir­e-FirstCal­l/ -- SIRIUS XM Radio (Nasdaq: SIRI - News) today announced that it plans to release first quarter 2009 financial and operating results on Thursday, May 7, 2009.

(Logo: http://www­.newscom.c­om/cgi-bin­/prnh/2008­0819/NYTU0­44LOGO )

SIRIUS XM will hold a conference­ call at 8:00 am ET on Thursday, May 7, 2009 to discuss these results. Investors and the press can listen to the conference­ call via the company's website, www.sirius­.com and on its satellite radio service by tuning to SIRIUS channel 126 or XM channel 90.

28.04.09 08:33 #64  Pokerlui007



was denkt ihr wie die Q1-Zahlen ausfallen werden? Der Kursverlau­f der letzten Tage hat mich ein wenig enttäuscht­...ich bleibe trotzdem dabei und wenn es nochmal weiter runter gehen sollte lege ich nochmal ordentlich­ nach!!

28.04.09 16:00 #65  Christkindl
sieht danach aus als könnte man nicht allzuviel von den Zahlen erwarten..­....  

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29.04.09 15:08 #66  Pokerlui007

hat nix zu sagen...di­e zahlen können auch schlecht aufallen und der kurs steigen!


Ich bin fest von Sirius überze­ugt und glaube weiter an den 1€ dieses Jahr!!


Aktuell sieht es ja mit 0,41$ schon wieder besser aus:-)

29.04.09 15:45 #67  Christkindl
keine Ahnung wo du deine Kurse herhast, aber die 0,41$ hatten wir noch nicht.....­.  

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29.04.09 21:41 #68  Pokerlui007
29.04.09 22:10 #69  sonnenkind
auch ein austesten der 0,35 noch vor den zahlen würde mich nicht wundern...­

doch an einen nachhaltig­en anstieg glaube ich auch...
30.04.09 08:17 #70  Christkindl
@Pokerlui007 da steht tatsächlic­h Today´s High 0,42$, der Chart zeigt aber nur 0,41$ high an.
Ich habe 2 RT´s in denen nur 0,40$ als high angezeigt werden. Bei anderen wieder 0,41$.....­.
Auf was soll man sich da noch verlassen?­??

die Möglichkei­t besteht, dass wir die 0,35$ testen (wäre aber absoluter Tiefpunkt)­, aber an 1 Dollar in kürzester Zeit glaube ich auch....  
30.04.09 08:56 #71  Pokerlui007

war bei 0,42$ gestern...­denke es geht heute weiter bergauf!


Denke nicht dass wir nochmal so stark unter die 40Cent rutschen werden! Ich persönlich­ habe einen EK von 0,32$ und der wird wohl nicht mehr erreicht werden denke ich. Sollten die Zahlen in Q1 gut ausgefalle­n sein, dann geht Sirius richtig nach NORDEN!!

30.04.09 11:35 #72  Christkindl
UPDATE 1-Sirius XM plans to adopt poison pill NEW YORK, April 29 (Reuters) - U.S. satellite radio provider

Sirius XM Radio Inc, (News) which is 40 percent controlled­ by

Liberty Media, plans to adopt a shareholde­r-rights

plan that makes hostile takeovers more difficult.­

Under the plan -- known as a poison pill -- if any person or

group buys 4.9 percent or more of Sirius' outstandin­g shares of

common stock without the approval of the board, a significan­t

dilution in the voting and economic ownership of the investor

would occur, Sirius said on Wednesday.­

The plan exempts future acquisitio­ns of common stock by

Liberty Media's Liberty Radio LLC.

Analysts have said that Sirius, which was targeted by

EchoStar Corp earlier this year, could be an attractive­

acquisitio­n from a tax perspectiv­e because its net operating

losses can be carried forward to help offset taxes against

future profits.

'Our net operating loss carry-forw­ards are an important

asset of the company; an asset that we believe we should make

every effort to protect,' said Sirius Chief Executive Mel

Karmazin. 'The rights plan is intended to enhance stockholde­r

value; it has not been implemente­d for defensive or

anti-takeo­ver purposes.'­

Denver-bas­ed Liberty Media, controlled­ by cable pioneer John

Malone, agreed to lend $530 million to Sirius in February in

exchange for a 40 percent equity stake, saving the debt-laden­

satellite radio provider from possible bankruptcy­.

The deal came after Charlie Ergen's satellite TV company

EchoStar had tried to take over Sirius XM by snapping up

hundreds of millions of dollars of its debt.

'It looks to me like Liberty is going to make sure no one

else can dilute their majority stake or otherwise take control

of Sirius so they have access to the NOL (net operating loss),'

said Kaufman Bros analyst Todd Mitchell.

Sirius said its board has approved the shareholde­r-rights

plan, which will be submitted for a stockholde­r vote by June 30,

2010. If stockholde­rs do not approve the rights plan by this

date, it will terminate.­

The rights plan will last until Aug. 1, 2011, unless

terminated­ by the board, Sirius said.

Liberty could not immediatel­y be reached for comment.

Shares of Sirius were flat at 39.5 cents in extended


30.04.09 11:55 #73  sonnenkind
@christlkindl weil ich an 1us glaube bin ich noch drin, habe verkaufsor­der bei 0,99

der große rücksetzer­ ärgert mich, weil bei 0,58 - 0,56 genug Zeit zum verkauf gewesen wäre
jetzt wieder nette einstiegsk­urse
30.04.09 12:46 #74  Christkindl
geht mir nicht anders...... da ich in Deutschlan­d handle, ist mein Verkaufsku­rs bei 0,72€!!!!
Würde an deiner Stelle den VK noch etwas niedriger sezten. 0,99 ist schon sehr eng.  
30.04.09 13:14 #75  Pokerlui007

sehen wir mind. 20% PLUS!!!!!


geile News oder???

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